Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.175537 0.201347 0.230646 0.266578 0.309738 0.360268 0.424425
2025-06-15 0.137959 0.171972 0.214893 0.273959 0.354620 0.463173 0.624315
2025-06-22 0.111425 0.147180 0.195819 0.268696 0.378542 0.543943 0.824447
2025-06-29 0.096011 0.132773 0.185891 0.271286 0.411349 0.644416 1.092033
2025-07-06 0.083495 0.119697 0.174576 0.268008 0.432489 0.730931 1.372443
2025-07-13 0.075686 0.112088 0.169740 0.273282 0.468311 0.853696 1.783833
2025-07-20 0.069599 0.106087 0.166185 0.279510 0.506882 0.994619 2.317062
2025-07-27 0.064467 0.100819 0.162836 0.285112 0.545348 1.149435 2.990279
2025-08-03 0.060430 0.096790 0.160907 0.292815 0.590167 1.337253 3.910114
2025-08-10 0.056290 0.092030 0.156880 0.295379 0.624094 1.512369 4.953367
2025-08-17 0.052496 0.087422 0.152453 0.296171 0.654030 1.690724 6.206327
2025-08-24 0.048900 0.082770 0.147298 0.294363 0.676978 1.860020 7.638651
2025-08-31 0.045308 0.077829 0.141097 0.289432 0.691510 2.014653 9.259346
2025-09-07 0.043334 0.075783 0.140546 0.297805 0.746637 2.347230 12.576011
2025-09-14 0.040335 0.071435 0.134640 0.292020 0.758390 2.524343 15.264523
2025-09-21 0.038347 0.068905 0.132319 0.294908 0.798565 2.849177 20.105501
2025-09-28 0.036062 0.065558 0.127810 0.291275 0.816593 3.091033 25.051425
2025-10-05 0.034658 0.063894 0.126871 0.297127 0.869729 3.550148 34.679445
2025-10-12 0.033431 0.062484 0.126336 0.304040 0.929846 4.107226 49.439057
2025-10-19 0.032248 0.061058 0.125594 0.310260 0.990376 4.736128 71.451503
2025-10-26 0.031277 0.060004 0.125617 0.318820 1.064581 5.548978 109.147323
2025-11-02 0.030064 0.058310 0.123879 0.321671 1.116446 6.280076 159.400814
2025-11-09 0.028840 0.056492 0.121637 0.322551 1.160617 7.023252 232.375304